8 am EDT – There is a high chance of a tropical depression forming over the tropical central Atlantic [#95L](https://x.com/hashtag/95L?src=hashtag_click) during the next few days. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system.
Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days
As of 8:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025…
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a low-latitude tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the tropical central Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while it moves quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic, approaching the northern Leeward Islands by the latter part of the week. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days… high…70 percent.