Disturbance 1: 60% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days
As of 2:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025…
Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing limited disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of the week.
This system should move westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic and approach the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low… 10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.